Nowestern St
W-L: (10-22) PR = 94.0599Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Texas A&M SEC T (22-12, 97.8) 68-98 1106 H No Texas AME (18-14, 96.0) 53-80 1111 H No Alabama AS ( 9-21, 93.8) 83-87 1114 A ECCLE 95-75 1118 H San Fran WC (17-16, 96.2) 64-84 1121 H Grand Canyon MW (20-12, 96.7) 72-85 1129 H Southern SWAC S (16-18, 94.7) 73-75 1205 H McNeese SL M (26- 7, 96.8) 54-92 1207 A Soea LA SL S ( 9-22, 94.1) 76-68 1213 H California ACC (22-12, 97.1) 70-79 1220 A SOU-N **-55 1229 H Lamar SL L (12-19, 94.4) 61-76 1231 H SF Austin SL (28- 6, 96.3) 64-74 103 A New Orleans SL U (15-18, 95.1) 74-68 105 H Nicholls SL N (14-19, 94.8) 72-74 110 A TX A&M-CC SL A (18-15, 95.2) 79-78 112 A UTRGV SL (18-14, 95.3) 64-63 117 H Incarn Word SL (12-19, 94.4) 74-76 119 H Houston Chr SL H (12-20, 94.2) 80-82 127 H SF Austin SL (28- 6, 96.3) 67-69 131 H New Orleans SL U (15-18, 95.1) 64-75 202 H Nicholls SL N (14-19, 94.8) 58-61 204 H Ea Texas A&M SL E (11-20, 94.2) 68-74 207 H Ea Texas A&M SL E (11-20, 94.2) 48-52 209 A Lamar SL L (12-19, 94.4) 70-68 214 A Soea LA SL S ( 9-22, 94.1) 69-66 216 H McNeese SL M (26- 7, 96.8) 64-75 221 A Houston Chr SL H (12-20, 94.2) 71-53 223 A Incarn Word SL (12-19, 94.4) 54-49 228 H TX A&M-CC SL A (18-15, 95.2) 59-71 302 H UTRGV SL (18-14, 95.3) 62-74 308 H Nicholls SL N (14-19, 94.8) 47-61
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Texas A&M 68-98 -30 -4 0.00
1106 H No Texas 53-80 -27 -2 -0.07
1111 H No Alabama 83-87 -4 0 - -2.23
1118 H San Fran 64-84 -20 -2 0.00
1121 H Grand Canyon 72-85 -13 -3 0.00
1129 H Southern 73-75 -2 -1 -1.39
1205 H McNeese 54-92 -38 -3 0.00
1207 A Soea LA 76-68 8 0 + 2.09
1213 H California 70-79 -9 -3 0.00
1229 H Lamar 61-76 -15 0 -1.62
1231 H SF Austin 64-74 -10 -2 0.00
103 A New Orleans 74-68 6 -1 + 3.08
105 H Nicholls 72-74 -2 -1 -1.29
110 A TX A&M-CC 79-78 1 -1 + 2.19
112 A UTRGV 64-63 1 -1 + 2.28
117 H Incarn Word 74-76 -2 0 -1.68
119 H Houston Chr 80-82 -2 0 -1.85
127 H SF Austin 67-69 -2 -2 0.00
131 H New Orleans 64-75 -11 -1 -0.94
202 H Nicholls 58-61 -3 -1 -1.29
204 H Ea Texas A&M 68-74 -6 0 -1.84
207 H Ea Texas A&M 48-52 -4 0 -1.84
209 A Lamar 70-68 2 0 + 2.40
214 A Soea LA 69-66 3 0 + 2.09
216 H McNeese 64-75 -11 -3 0.00
221 A Houston Chr 71-53 18 0 + 2.17
223 A Incarn Word 54-49 5 0 + 2.34
228 H TX A&M-CC 59-71 -12 -1 -0.83
302 H UTRGV 62-74 -12 -1 -0.74
308 H Nicholls 47-61 -14 -1 -1.29
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1111 H No Alabama 83-87 -4 0 - -2.23 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1207 A Soea LA 76-68 8 0 + 2.09 103 A New Orleans 74-68 6 -1 + 3.08 110 A TX A&M-CC 79-78 1 -1 + 2.19 112 A UTRGV 64-63 1 -1 + 2.28 209 A Lamar 70-68 2 0 + 2.40 214 A Soea LA 69-66 3 0 + 2.09 221 A Houston Chr 71-53 18 0 + 2.17 223 A Incarn Word 54-49 5 0 + 2.34 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Texas A&M (22-12, 97.8) 68-98 -2.13 5.34 -0.01 1.10 -1.18
3 H No Texas (18-14, 96.0) 53-80 -3.90 3.57 -0.01 1.10 -2.15
3 H No Alabama ( 9-21, 93.8) 83-87 -6.06 1.42 -0.01 1.10 -3.34
3 H San Fran (17-16, 96.2) 64-84 -3.74 3.74 -0.01 1.10 -2.06
3 H Grand Canyon (20-12, 96.7) 72-85 -3.19 4.29 -0.01 1.10 -1.76
3 H Southern (16-18, 94.7) 73-75 -5.22 2.26 -0.01 1.10 -2.88
3 H McNeese (26- 7, 96.8) 54-92 -3.11 4.37 -0.01 1.10 -1.72
3 A Soea LA ( 9-22, 94.1) 76-68 -5.76 1.72 0.01 1.10 3.80
3 H California (22-12, 97.1) 70-79 -2.76 4.72 -0.01 1.10 -1.52
3 H Lamar (12-19, 94.4) 61-76 -5.45 2.02 -0.01 1.10 -3.01
3 H SF Austin (28- 6, 96.3) 64-74 -3.58 3.89 -0.01 1.10 -1.98
3 A New Orleans (15-18, 95.1) 74-68 -4.77 2.71 0.01 1.10 5.98
3 H Nicholls (14-19, 94.8) 72-74 -5.12 2.36 -0.01 1.10 -2.82
3 A TX A&M-CC (18-15, 95.2) 79-78 -4.66 2.82 0.01 1.10 6.22
3 A UTRGV (18-14, 95.3) 64-63 -4.57 2.91 0.01 1.10 6.42
3 H Incarn Word (12-19, 94.4) 74-76 -5.51 1.97 -0.01 1.10 -3.04
3 H Houston Chr (12-20, 94.2) 80-82 -5.68 1.79 -0.01 1.10 -3.13
3 H SF Austin (28- 6, 96.3) 67-69 -3.58 3.89 -0.01 1.10 -1.98
3 H New Orleans (15-18, 95.1) 64-75 -4.77 2.71 -0.01 1.10 -2.63
3 H Nicholls (14-19, 94.8) 58-61 -5.12 2.36 -0.01 1.10 -2.82
3 H Ea Texas A&M (11-20, 94.2) 68-74 -5.67 1.81 -0.01 1.10 -3.13
3 H Ea Texas A&M (11-20, 94.2) 48-52 -5.67 1.81 -0.01 1.10 -3.13
3 A Lamar (12-19, 94.4) 70-68 -5.45 2.02 0.01 1.10 4.48
3 A Soea LA ( 9-22, 94.1) 69-66 -5.76 1.72 0.01 1.10 3.80
3 H McNeese (26- 7, 96.8) 64-75 -3.11 4.37 -0.01 1.10 -1.72
3 A Houston Chr (12-20, 94.2) 71-53 -5.68 1.79 0.01 1.10 3.97
3 A Incarn Word (12-19, 94.4) 54-49 -5.51 1.97 0.01 1.10 4.35
3 H TX A&M-CC (18-15, 95.2) 59-71 -4.66 2.82 -0.01 1.10 -2.57
3 H UTRGV (18-14, 95.3) 62-74 -4.57 2.91 -0.01 1.10 -2.52
3 H Nicholls (14-19, 94.8) 47-61 -5.12 2.36 -0.01 1.10 -2.82
------
-14.85
|
winning pts = 39.0323 losing points = -53.8814
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------